Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: WILGERBOSDRIFT RUFFIAN STAKES (Listed) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Almond Sea 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 2 Just Reckless 2 60.0 2 8.25 2.5 - - - +0 3 African Beauty 2 55.0 3 12.50 2.5 - - - +0 4 Discerning 2 58.0 4 15.00 2.5 - - - +0 5 Force Eight 3 58.0 5 24.25 3.5 - - - +0 6 Grey Fantacy 3 58.0 6 99.99 3.5 - - - +0 99 Simply Majestic 3 58.0 99 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almond Sea | - | 119 | - | +119 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Just Reckless | - | 112 | - | +112 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | African Beauty | - | 66 | - | +66 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Discerning | - | 80 | - | +80 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Force Eight | - | 77 | - | +77 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Grey Fantacy | - | 83 | - | +83 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Simply Majestic | - | 85 | - | - | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points