Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: CAPE TURF CLUB OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Apache Chief
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Four Jacks 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 76 72 70 -6 2 Tsunami Warning 3 56.5 2 0.40 3.0 69 67 67 -2 3 Apache Chief 4 61.0 3 1.15 1.5 78 78 78 +0 4 Atlantic King 3 52.5 4 2.15 3.0 59 57 57 -2 5 Bella's Pablo 3 56.0 5 4.40 3.0 67 61 61 -6 6 Pleasedtoseeyou 3 54.5 6 4.70 3.0 65 58 58 -7 7 Dawn Cloud 2 54.0 7 4.75 0.0 64 63 63 -1 8 Typically French 4 54.5 8 5.50 1.5 65 61 61 -4 9 Take A Mulligan 4 58.0 9 6.00 1.5 72 68 68 -4 10 Go It Alone 4 59.0 10 7.00 1.5 74 70 70 -4 11 Renowned 2 55.0 11 7.40 0.0 66 65 65 -1 12 Portcullis 3 61.0 12 7.90 3.0 - 71 71 +71 13 Ischyro 3 55.0 13 9.90 3.0 66 59 59 -7 14 Juan Les Pins 3 56.0 14 10.65 3.0 68 61 61 -7 15 Devil A Saint 4 59.5 15 13.65 1.5 74 71 71 -3 16 Dance Master 2 52.5 16 15.65 0.0 57 60 60 +3 99 Red Rackham 3 54.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Four Jacks | 76 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Tsunami Warning | 69 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Apache Chief Line | 78 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Atlantic King | 59 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bella's Pablo | 67 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pleasedtoseeyou | 65 | 65 | 58 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Dawn Cloud | 64 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Typically French | 65 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Take A Mulligan | 72 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Go It Alone | 74 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Renowned | 66 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Portcullis | - | 63 | 71 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Ischyro | 66 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Juan Les Pins | 68 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 15 | Devil A Saint | 74 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 16 | Dance Master | 57 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Red Rackham | - | 63 | 58 | +5 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points