Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: TAKING THE REINS CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
The Abdicator (IRE)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tough Terrain 5 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 83 98 89 +6 2 The Abdicator (IRE) 4 60.0 2 0.30 4.0 96 96 96 +0 3 King Of The Gauls 3 58.5 3 0.35 3.5 93 94 94 +1 4 Nordic Chief 4 55.5 4 0.65 4.0 86 87 87 +1 5 Bluff On Bluff 3 52.5 5 1.65 3.5 76 82 82 +6 6 Elusive Winter 4 55.5 6 3.40 4.0 87 87 87 +0 7 Navajo Dancer 2 53.0 7 4.40 2.5 81 85 85 +4 8 Major Apollo 2 53.0 8 4.70 2.5 81 85 85 +4 9 Blue Holly 4 58.5 9 6.20 4.0 98 93 93 -5 10 Silver Crown 2 55.5 10 7.45 2.5 87 90 90 +3 11 William West 2 54.0 11 8.95 2.5 83 87 87 +4 12 Escarpment 4 53.0 12 9.45 4.0 79 82 82 +3 13 Let The Flag Fly 2 55.5 13 9.85 2.5 85 90 90 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tough Terrain | 83 | 81 | 89 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | The Abdicator (IRE) Line | 96 | 94 | 96 | -2 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | King Of The Gauls | 93 | 113 | 94 | +19 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Nordic Chief | 86 | 94 | 87 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bluff On Bluff | 76 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Elusive Winter | 87 | 104 | 87 | +17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Navajo Dancer | 81 | 56 | 85 | -29 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Major Apollo | 81 | 72 | 85 | -13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Blue Holly | 98 | 85 | 93 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Silver Crown | 87 | 84 | 90 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | William West | 83 | 51 | 87 | -36 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Escarpment | 79 | 79 | 82 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 13 | Let The Flag Fly | 85 | 78 | 90 | -12 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points