Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Swiss Paradise
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Chelsea Flower       6    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   66    73           66    +0
2    Swiss Paradise       3    54.0    2    0.30     3.5   56    56           56    +0
3    Family Favourite     3    59.0    3    1.70     3.5   69    66           66    -3
4    Angelic Fort         3    49.0    4    2.70     3.5   54    46           46    -8
5    Blush Of Dawn        8    57.0    5    3.40     0.0   62    69           69    +7
6    French Princess      2    58.5    6    4.90     2.5   65    67           67    +2
7    Birdwatcher          5    54.5    7    6.60     0.0   57    64           64    +7
8    Grecian Palace       2    57.5    8    7.90     2.5   71    65           65    -6
9    Poppy Of Bayeux      3    56.5    9    9.00     3.5   61    61           61    +0
10   Pantea               3    56.5    10   99.99    3.5   61    61           61    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Chelsea Flower 66 77 66 +11 0.0 -
2 Swiss Paradise Line 56 60 56 +4 3.5
3 Family Favourite 69 69 66 +3 3.5 -
4 Angelic Fort 54 50 46 +4 3.5 -
5 Blush Of Dawn 62 64 69 -5 0.0 -
6 French Princess 65 65 67 -2 2.5 -
7 Birdwatcher 57 53 64 -11 0.0 -
8 Grecian Palace 71 62 65 -3 2.5 -
9 Poppy Of Bayeux 61 57 61 -4 3.5 -
10 Pantea 61 57 61 -4 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points