Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
October Fair
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Primrose Path 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 75 68 75 +0 2 A Place In The Sun 5 57.0 2 0.50 0.0 72 73 73 +1 3 October Fair 2 60.0 3 0.75 0.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Can't Catch Me 5 52.0 4 1.25 0.0 54 62 62 +8 5 Priceless 3 58.5 5 1.75 3.0 75 68 68 -7 6 Ariel's Jet 3 59.0 6 3.25 3.0 82 68 72 -10 7 Feeling Groovy 2 57.0 7 3.75 0.0 72 69 69 -3 8 Kakiebos 3 60.0 8 5.50 3.0 84 68 74 -10 9 Flamboyant Flyer 4 53.5 9 7.75 1.5 79 58 69 -10 10 Off Limits 3 60.0 10 25.75 3.0 84 68 74 -10 11 Leonessa 2 55.0 11 27.75 0.0 74 64 64 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primrose Path | 75 | 77 | 75 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | A Place In The Sun | 72 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | October Fair Line | 78 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Can't Catch Me | 54 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Priceless | 75 | 72 | 68 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ariel's Jet | 82 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Feeling Groovy | 72 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kakiebos | 84 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flamboyant Flyer | 79 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Off Limits | 84 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Leonessa | 74 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points