Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CLASSIC DAY 5 MARCH MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Goliath Heron
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cleaver Greene 3 58.0 1 0.00 4.5 82 67 82 +0 2 Super Agra 4 60.5 2 0.20 5.0 81 71 71 -10 3 Goliath Heron 6 60.5 3 2.20 0.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Into The Future 5 56.0 4 3.45 0.0 72 72 72 +0 5 Money Fighter 4 53.5 5 4.45 5.0 67 57 57 -10 6 Rollwiththepunches 6 59.5 6 4.55 0.0 85 79 79 -6 7 Eyes On Tiger 4 52.0 7 4.75 5.0 69 54 59 -10 8 Raisetheredlantern 4 52.5 8 6.75 5.0 65 55 55 -10 9 In Cahoots 6 58.0 9 7.50 0.0 76 76 76 +0 10 Vegas Hi Rise 6 57.0 10 7.60 0.0 80 74 74 -6 11 Written In Stone 9 56.5 11 7.80 0.0 73 73 73 +0 12 Jet Cat 9 59.0 12 7.85 0.0 78 78 78 +0 13 Samuel Salt 3 56.0 13 8.35 4.5 78 63 68 -10 14 Tinder Dry 3 57.0 14 10.60 4.5 80 65 70 -10 15 Hope Is Power 3 59.0 15 27.10 4.5 89 69 79 -10 99 Corvette Captain 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleaver Greene | 82 | 102 | 82 | +20 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Super Agra | 81 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Goliath Heron Line | 81 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Into The Future | 72 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Money Fighter | 67 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rollwiththepunches | 85 | 90 | 79 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Eyes On Tiger | 69 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Raisetheredlantern | 65 | 64 | 55 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | In Cahoots | 76 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Vegas Hi Rise | 80 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Written In Stone | 73 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Jet Cat | 78 | 60 | 78 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Samuel Salt | 78 | 82 | 68 | +14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 14 | Tinder Dry | 80 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 15 | Hope Is Power | 89 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Corvette Captain | - | 75 | 70 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points