Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 15 MARCH FM 70 HANDICAP (F & M) (Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Iqembulabesifazane
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 You Win Again 5 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 60 65 60 +0 2 Iqembulabesifazane 3 61.0 2 6.25 2.5 72 72 72 +0 3 Variety Breeze 4 58.0 3 8.75 1.5 66 68 68 +2 4 Youcrackmeup 3 53.5 4 9.00 2.5 57 57 57 +0 5 Kilmonivaig 5 57.0 5 9.50 0.0 64 69 69 +5 6 Winter Journey 3 52.5 6 10.00 2.5 52 55 55 +3 7 Dream Scape 5 56.0 7 10.75 0.0 70 67 67 -3 8 Piton De Neige 4 57.0 8 11.00 1.5 70 66 66 -4 9 Burn Baby Burn 2 57.0 9 11.25 0.0 70 69 69 -1 10 Angelsea 3 59.5 10 12.50 2.5 69 69 69 +0 11 Global Goddess 3 55.5 11 13.25 2.5 61 61 61 +0 12 Swiftwinged 2 55.0 12 14.50 0.0 66 65 65 -1 13 Just Forever 3 52.0 13 14.60 2.5 49 54 54 +5 99 Summer Of Dreams 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | You Win Again | 60 | 83 | 60 | +23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Iqembulabesifazane Line | 72 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Variety Breeze | 66 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Youcrackmeup | 57 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Kilmonivaig | 64 | 56 | 69 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Winter Journey | 52 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Dream Scape | 70 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Piton De Neige | 70 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Burn Baby Burn | 70 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Angelsea | 69 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Global Goddess | 61 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Swiftwinged | 66 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Just Forever | 49 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Summer Of Dreams | - | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points