Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Holocene
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Donna Mo 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 79 83 79 +0 2 Ryan's Dream 3 56.5 2 4.50 4.5 69 74 74 +5 3 Holocene 4 54.5 3 4.90 2.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Pretty In Pearls 3 57.0 4 5.10 4.5 70 74 74 +4 5 Vesuvio 5 61.0 5 6.00 0.0 78 91 91 +13 6 Hakas Krakas 3 57.0 6 6.50 4.5 70 74 74 +4 7 Rosy Lemon 5 60.0 7 10.25 0.0 76 89 89 +13 8 Kambulu 3 60.0 8 14.50 4.5 76 80 80 +4 9 Black Lightning 2 61.5 9 17.75 0.0 79 92 92 +13 99 Flag Bearer 3 55.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donna Mo | 79 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ryan's Dream | 69 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Holocene Line | 74 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Pretty In Pearls | 70 | 56 | 74 | -18 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Vesuvio | 78 | 85 | 91 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Hakas Krakas | 70 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rosy Lemon | 76 | 72 | 89 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kambulu | 76 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Black Lightning | 79 | 64 | 92 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flag Bearer | - | 60 | 70 | -10 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points