Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Path Of Choice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Makhachev 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 69 80 +0 2 Hawk Circle 2 59.5 2 1.25 0.0 71 73 73 +2 3 Path Of Choice 5 62.0 3 2.50 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Horsefly 2 58.5 4 2.60 0.0 75 69 69 -6 5 Magnum Fire 7 61.5 5 3.10 0.0 75 75 75 +0 6 Charlie Malone 5 57.5 6 3.15 0.0 67 67 67 +0 7 Timbavati River 3 59.0 7 3.90 2.5 70 64 64 -6 8 Bridgerton 2 57.0 8 4.00 0.0 71 65 65 -6 9 Eyjafjallajokull 2 60.5 9 5.00 0.0 76 71 71 -5 10 Final Edition 5 60.0 10 6.25 0.0 72 70 70 -2 11 Valyrian Sword 2 52.0 11 7.50 0.0 56 54 54 -2 12 Bob Lee Swagger 4 55.5 12 20.75 1.5 69 58 59 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makhachev | 80 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hawk Circle | 71 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Path Of Choice Line | 76 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Horsefly | 75 | 73 | 69 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Magnum Fire | 75 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Charlie Malone | 67 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Timbavati River | 70 | 79 | 64 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Bridgerton | 71 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Eyjafjallajokull | 76 | 86 | 71 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Final Edition | 72 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Valyrian Sword | 56 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Bob Lee Swagger | 69 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points