Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 22 MARCH CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Coastal Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fiery Duke 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 69 64 64 -5 2 Great Times 3 54.5 2 0.50 3.5 60 53 53 -7 3 Coastal Path 5 60.0 3 0.60 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Jackson Misissippi 6 52.5 4 1.10 0.0 48 56 56 +8 5 Graduation Time 4 60.0 5 1.15 4.0 74 63 64 -10 6 Bennelong Point 2 56.0 6 1.90 2.5 62 58 58 -4 7 Irontail 4 56.0 7 6.40 4.0 61 55 55 -6 8 Mister Whistle 4 54.0 8 8.65 4.0 63 51 53 -10 9 Father's Frost 7 58.0 9 12.40 0.0 67 67 67 +0 10 Jaquar Cat 3 52.0 10 14.90 3.5 48 48 48 +0 11 Sirnihaallongsword 4 60.0 11 39.90 4.0 69 63 63 -6 12 Persistance 3 52.5 12 99.99 3.5 50 49 49 -1 99 Looking Hot 3 58.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 61 61 +0 99 Callmemrgreenlight 3 52.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 48 48 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiery Duke | 69 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Great Times | 60 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Coastal Path Line | 71 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Jackson Misissippi | 48 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Graduation Time | 74 | 70 | 64 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bennelong Point | 62 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Irontail | 61 | 64 | 55 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mister Whistle | 63 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Father's Frost | 67 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Jaquar Cat | 48 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Sirnihaallongsword | 69 | 69 | 63 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Persistance | 50 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Looking Hot | - | 68 | 61 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Callmemrgreenlight | - | 45 | 48 | -3 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points