Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CAPE A STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Rio Querari
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Winter Cloud         2    52.5    1    0.00     2.5   108   95           95    -13
2    Dance Variety        2    55.5    2    0.75     2.5   102   101          101   -1
3    Rio Querari          5    61.5    3    2.75     0.0   118   118          118   +0
4    Mufasa               6    58.5    4    3.25     0.0   107   112          112   +5
5    Mr Cobbs             5    58.5    5    3.55     0.0   108   112          112   +4
6    Jerusalema Rain      2    54.0    6    3.65     2.5   104   98           98    -6
7    Slim Jannie          2    55.5    7    4.90     2.5   101   101          101   +0
8    Yellowporscheroad    2    52.5    8    8.15     2.5   97    95           95    -2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Winter Cloud 108 114 95 +19 2.5 -
2 Dance Variety 102 114 101 +13 2.5 -
3 Rio Querari Line 118 116 118 -2 0.0
4 Mufasa 107 98 112 -14 0.0 -
5 Mr Cobbs 108 106 112 -6 0.0 -
6 Jerusalema Rain 104 100 98 +2 2.5 -
7 Slim Jannie 101 95 101 -6 2.5 -
8 Yellowporscheroad 97 97 95 +2 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points