Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BET WITH TABGOLD - THE INTELLIGENT BET! MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Every Cloud
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Temperate Zone 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 70 74 70 +0 2 Every Cloud 3 58.0 2 1.30 4.5 73 73 73 +0 3 Querari's Dream 2 58.0 3 1.80 0.0 73 82 82 +9 4 Only A Poet 3 55.0 4 3.90 4.5 76 64 66 -10 5 Galaxy Explorer 4 55.5 5 4.10 2.0 77 70 70 -7 6 Papa C 6 58.0 6 5.00 0.0 76 77 77 +1 7 Selukwe 3 59.5 7 5.90 4.5 79 71 71 -8 8 Jazz Festival 5 55.5 8 7.20 0.0 68 72 72 +4 9 Red Magician 3 52.0 9 10.60 4.5 49 56 56 +7 10 Shoefella 2 56.0 10 11.40 0.0 69 73 73 +4 11 Lady Canton 2 56.5 11 21.20 0.0 79 74 74 -5 12 Duke Of Oxford 3 56.5 12 27.20 4.5 79 65 69 -10 99 Quantifier 2 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Temperate Zone | 70 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Every Cloud Line | 73 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 4.5 | ||
| 3 | Querari's Dream | 73 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Only A Poet | 76 | 59 | 66 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Galaxy Explorer | 77 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Papa C | 76 | 73 | 77 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Selukwe | 79 | 115 | 71 | +44 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Jazz Festival | 68 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Red Magician | 49 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Shoefella | 69 | 82 | 73 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lady Canton | 79 | 78 | 74 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Duke Of Oxford | 79 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Quantifier | - | 74 | 84 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points