Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: OPEN A TABGOLD ACCOUNT - 031 314 1874 MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Licence To Thrill
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Voldemort            6    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   80    90           80    +0
1    Northern Warrior     7    51.0    1    0.00     0.0   65    75           65    +0
3    Licence To Thrill    4    60.0    3    0.05     4.0   85    85           85    +0
4    Hippocrates          3    55.5    4    1.65     3.5   71    77           77    +6
5    Rugger Bugger        3    59.0    5    2.05     3.5   78    84           84    +6
6    Hiawatha Goldberg    2    57.0    6    2.20     2.5   79    82           82    +3
7    El Draque            5    57.5    7    3.10     0.0   75    88           88    +13
8    Bom Bom              4    56.5    8    3.35     4.0   78    78           78    +0
9    Flight Path          2    60.5    9    4.55     2.5   86    89           89    +3
10   Super Fast           5    60.0    10   6.25     0.0   80    93           93    +13
11   Preemptive Strike    4    56.5    11   6.35     4.0   73    78           78    +5
12   Canford Ice          2    58.5    12   7.75     2.5   82    85           85    +3
13   Griffin Park         4    57.5    13   8.65     4.0   80    80           80    +0
99   Winter Baron         2    60.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     89           89    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Voldemort 80 81 80 +1 0.0 -
1 Northern Warrior 65 73 65 +8 0.0 -
3 Licence To Thrill Line 85 98 85 +13 4.0
4 Hippocrates 71 68 77 -9 3.5 -
5 Rugger Bugger 78 77 84 -7 3.5 -
6 Hiawatha Goldberg 79 57 82 -25 2.5 -
7 El Draque 75 57 88 -31 0.0 -
8 Bom Bom 78 64 78 -14 4.0 -
9 Flight Path 86 84 89 -5 2.5 -
10 Super Fast 80 83 93 -10 0.0 -
11 Preemptive Strike 73 70 78 -8 4.0 -
12 Canford Ice 82 82 85 -3 2.5 -
13 Griffin Park 80 58 80 -22 4.0 -
99 Winter Baron - 81 89 -8 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points