Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 74 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Spirited Flight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Noble Storm          3    60.0    1    0.00     3.5   74    67           74    +0
2    Maggie Smith         2    58.5    2    0.20     2.5   71    66           66    -5
3    Rani Of Jhansi       3    58.5    3    0.25     3.5   76    64           66    -10
4    Spirited Flight      5    52.5    4    2.35     0.0   59    59           59    +0
5    Shona Kirsty Yves    3    52.5    5    3.55     3.5   62    52           52    -10
6    Sting Ray            3    60.0    6    3.95     3.5   74    67           67    -7
7    Nellie Melba         4    59.0    7    4.05     4.0   77    64           67    -10
8    Tayooba              2    55.0    8    4.80     2.5   72    59           62    -10
9    Palm Breeze          3    59.0    9    7.10     3.5   72    65           65    -7
10   Predator's Feast     2    53.0    10   9.90     2.5   65    55           55    -10
11   Full Of Magic        4    54.5    11   16.10    4.0   67    55           57    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Noble Storm 74 78 74 +4 3.5 -
2 Maggie Smith 71 72 66 +6 2.5 -
3 Rani Of Jhansi 76 74 66 +8 3.5 -
4 Spirited Flight Line 59 61 59 +2 0.0
5 Shona Kirsty Yves 62 60 52 +8 3.5 -
6 Sting Ray 74 73 67 +6 3.5 -
7 Nellie Melba 77 68 67 +1 4.0 -
8 Tayooba 72 68 62 +6 2.5 -
9 Palm Breeze 72 66 65 +1 3.5 -
10 Predator's Feast 65 62 55 +7 2.5 -
11 Full Of Magic 67 52 57 -5 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points