Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 1 MARCH CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Speechmaker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Letsdoit 3 58.0 1 0.00 3.0 71 60 60 -11 2 Speechmaker 5 56.0 2 3.25 0.0 64 64 64 +0 3 In The Game 7 54.0 3 3.35 0.0 51 59 59 +8 4 Tiger In The Sun 4 57.5 4 3.75 2.0 70 62 62 -8 5 Motor City Hitman 3 60.0 5 4.70 3.0 77 64 67 -10 6 Just A Memory 3 58.0 6 4.75 3.0 74 60 64 -10 7 Track Commander 4 58.0 7 4.80 2.0 64 62 62 -2 8 Roger The Dodger 5 56.0 8 5.50 0.0 60 62 62 +2 9 The Makwakkers 6 58.0 9 6.25 0.0 66 66 66 +0 10 Granny's Moon 4 56.0 10 6.30 2.0 65 58 58 -7 11 Attentive 5 56.0 11 7.75 0.0 63 62 62 -1 12 Dark Travel 4 58.0 12 9.00 2.0 70 62 62 -8 13 After Hours 7 54.0 13 10.25 0.0 53 58 58 +5 14 On The Warpath 3 51.5 14 16.00 3.0 55 47 47 -8 15 Timeforthat 4 56.0 15 18.50 2.0 66 58 58 -8 99 Bloomington 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Ancestral Prayer 4 58.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Elusive Swann 4 58.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 62 62 +0 99 Riccardo 7 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Letsdoit | 71 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Speechmaker Line | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | In The Game | 51 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Tiger In The Sun | 70 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Motor City Hitman | 77 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Just A Memory | 74 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Track Commander | 64 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Roger The Dodger | 60 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | The Makwakkers | 66 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Granny's Moon | 65 | 65 | 58 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Attentive | 63 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dark Travel | 70 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | After Hours | 53 | 79 | 58 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | On The Warpath | 55 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 15 | Timeforthat | 66 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bloomington | - | 69 | 64 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ancestral Prayer | - | 79 | 62 | +17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Elusive Swann | - | 72 | 62 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Riccardo | - | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points