Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN MEETING SATURDAY 30 MARCH FM 92 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

Line Horse
Elembee
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mary's Greenlight    4    60.0    1    0.00     1.5   98    87           98    +0
2    Donna Mo             2    54.5    2    0.05     0.0   87    79           79    -8
3    Elembee              5    55.5    3    2.30     0.0   83    83           83    +0
4    Magical Flight       4    53.0    4    2.55     1.5   86    75           76    -10
5    Soldier's Eye        4    58.0    5    3.00     1.5   94    85           85    -9
6    Quiet Rebellion      3    53.5    6    4.20     3.0   79    72           72    -7
7    Escape Artist        3    56.5    7    4.25     3.0   85    78           78    -7
8    Alphabetty           5    56.0    8    5.50     0.0   84    82           82    -2
9    Mizzen Sail          2    54.5    9    9.95     0.0   87    79           79    -8
10   Damostar             4    58.5    10   10.00    1.5   95    84           85    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mary's Greenlight 98 103 98 +5 1.5 -
2 Donna Mo 87 89 79 +10 0.0 -
3 Elembee Line 83 77 83 -6 0.0
4 Magical Flight 86 85 76 +9 1.5 -
5 Soldier's Eye 94 94 85 +9 1.5 -
6 Quiet Rebellion 79 74 72 +2 3.0 -
7 Escape Artist 85 78 78 ✓ Match 3.0 -
8 Alphabetty 84 71 82 -11 0.0 -
9 Mizzen Sail 87 87 79 +8 0.0 -
10 Damostar 95 91 85 +6 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points