Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Connery
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Explosive Speed 2 59.5 1 0.00 2.5 73 76 76 +3 2 Connery 4 59.5 2 1.25 4.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Lead To Glory 4 51.5 3 2.75 4.0 60 57 57 -3 4 Maneki Neko 2 61.0 4 5.00 2.5 76 79 79 +3 5 Miss Lemonade 2 51.5 5 5.10 2.5 59 60 60 +1 6 A Thousand Kisses 2 52.5 6 5.40 2.5 64 62 62 -2 7 King Viserys 4 58.0 7 7.40 4.0 70 70 70 +0 8 Kingsboy (GB) 3 61.0 8 7.80 3.5 - 77 77 +77 9 Blame It On Me 4 61.0 9 10.55 4.0 - 76 76 +76 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Explosive Speed | 73 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Connery Line | 73 | 96 | 73 | +23 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Lead To Glory | 60 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Maneki Neko | 76 | 60 | 79 | -19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Miss Lemonade | 59 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | A Thousand Kisses | 64 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | King Viserys | 70 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kingsboy (GB) | - | 53 | 77 | -24 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Blame It On Me | - | 65 | 76 | -11 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points