Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: WWW.TAB4RACING.COM MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
City Lights
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ceuta 4 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 - 67 6 +6 2 City Lights 4 60.0 2 6.25 1.5 67 67 67 +0 3 Path Fairy 4 60.0 3 10.50 1.5 54 67 67 +13 4 Bacardi Babe 3 56.0 4 12.50 3.0 54 56 56 +2 5 Silky Jet 4 60.0 5 13.00 1.5 72 67 67 -5 6 Exquisite Dawn 2 58.5 6 13.20 0.0 63 67 67 +4 7 Whistledown 4 60.0 7 13.25 1.5 65 67 67 +2 8 Scarlet 3 60.0 8 22.25 3.0 64 64 64 +0 9 Brilliant Color 3 60.0 9 22.45 3.0 - 64 64 +64 99 Hallowed Secret 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceuta | - | 97 | 6 | +91 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | City Lights Line | 67 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Path Fairy | 54 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Bacardi Babe | 54 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Silky Jet | 72 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Exquisite Dawn | 63 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Whistledown | 65 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Scarlet | 64 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Brilliant Color | - | - | 64 | -64 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hallowed Secret | - | 50 | 64 | -14 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points