Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 9 APRIL MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Gilda Gray
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 His Master's Voice 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 74 67 +0 2 Gilda Gray 3 58.0 2 0.25 3.5 64 64 64 +0 3 Guy Alexander 3 55.5 3 0.75 3.5 62 63 63 +1 4 Hakas Krakas 3 59.5 4 1.25 3.5 67 71 71 +4 5 Jp Two Thousand 3 59.5 5 1.50 3.5 67 70 70 +3 6 Flag Bearer 3 59.0 6 2.25 3.5 66 69 69 +3 7 Copper John 4 57.0 7 3.00 1.5 77 68 68 -9 8 Green Sceptre 2 50.5 8 5.25 0.0 57 56 56 -1 9 Volte Face 3 59.5 9 5.50 3.5 67 67 67 +0 10 Lorna Lilly 3 55.5 10 6.00 3.5 58 59 59 +1 11 Eiger Sanction 3 60.5 11 14.00 3.5 76 69 69 -7 12 Summerland 5 56.0 12 27.75 0.0 60 67 67 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | His Master's Voice | 67 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gilda Gray Line | 64 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Guy Alexander | 62 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Hakas Krakas | 67 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Jp Two Thousand | 67 | 61 | 70 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Flag Bearer | 66 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Copper John | 77 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Green Sceptre | 57 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Volte Face | 67 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Lorna Lilly | 58 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Eiger Sanction | 76 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Summerland | 60 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points