Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Tsunami Warning
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Baton Rouge          4    55.5    1    0.00     1.0   69    68           68    -1
2    Jack In The Green    2    54.0    2    0.40     0.0   66    72           72    +6
3    French Trip          4    56.0    3    0.45     1.0   70    74           74    +4
4    Tsunami Warning      3    56.5    4    1.45     2.5   70    70           70    +0
5    Juan Les Pins        3    52.0    5    1.55     2.5   62    61           61    -1
6    Golden Grey          4    55.0    6    3.05     1.0   68    69           69    +1
7    Igugulethu           2    59.0    7    3.35     0.0   76    78           78    +2
8    Ischyro              3    52.0    8    7.60     2.5   59    58           58    -1
9    Take A Mulligan      4    55.0    9    7.90     1.0   68    67           67    -1
10   Mo Ment              4    61.0    10   8.90     1.0   -     79           79    +79
11   Rainbow Colours      3    56.0    11   9.30     2.5   65    66           66    +1
12   Otis The Brave       3    54.5    12   9.60     2.5   62    63           63    +1
13   King Of Numbers      4    57.5    13   10.10    1.0   73    72           72    -1
14   Portcullis           3    52.5    14   11.10    2.5   60    59           59    -1
99   Etoilefillante       4    61.0    99   0.00     1.0   -     79           79    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Baton Rouge 69 69 68 +1 1.0 -
2 Jack In The Green 66 80 72 +8 0.0 -
3 French Trip 70 88 74 +14 1.0 -
4 Tsunami Warning Line 70 73 70 +3 2.5
5 Juan Les Pins 62 56 61 -5 2.5 -
6 Golden Grey 68 64 69 -5 1.0 -
7 Igugulethu 76 83 78 +5 0.0 -
8 Ischyro 59 54 58 -4 2.5 -
9 Take A Mulligan 68 50 67 -17 1.0 -
10 Mo Ment - 93 79 +14 1.0 -
11 Rainbow Colours 65 63 66 -3 2.5 -
12 Otis The Brave 62 59 63 -4 2.5 -
13 King Of Numbers 73 75 72 +3 1.0 -
14 Portcullis 60 63 59 +4 2.5 -
99 Etoilefillante - 51 79 -28 1.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points