Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: GORDON STERLEY, HENNIE VAN WYK, HAROLD WHITEHEAD MR 106 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Power Broker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cosmic Star 3 57.0 1 0.00 3.0 100 98 100 +0 2 Captain Hindsight 5 62.0 2 1.25 0.0 110 114 114 +4 3 Power Broker 2 59.0 3 2.00 2.0 104 104 104 +0 4 Aussenkehr 2 53.0 4 2.25 2.0 100 92 92 -8 5 Swing Upon A Star 2 59.5 5 3.25 2.0 105 105 105 +0 6 Danilo Danilovitch 3 58.5 6 3.40 3.0 103 101 101 -2 7 Cold Fact 3 57.5 7 16.00 3.0 109 99 99 -10 99 Bard Of Avon 3 59.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 103 103 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cosmic Star | 100 | 105 | 100 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Captain Hindsight | 110 | 112 | 114 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Power Broker Line | 104 | 102 | 104 | -2 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Aussenkehr | 100 | 79 | 92 | -13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Swing Upon A Star | 105 | 102 | 105 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Danilo Danilovitch | 103 | 89 | 101 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cold Fact | 109 | 109 | 99 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bard Of Avon | - | 105 | 103 | +2 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points