Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: WORLD SPORTS BETTING SCARLET LADY (Listed) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lucky Miss
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Celtic Beauty 4 55.5 1 0.00 1.5 89 90 90 +1 2 Lucky Miss 3 57.0 2 0.15 3.5 89 89 89 +0 3 Ivy League 2 58.5 3 0.65 0.0 98 104 104 +6 4 Juliet Tango 6 60.0 4 2.85 0.0 98 104 104 +6 5 Kind Judy 4 53.0 5 2.90 1.5 76 87 87 +11 6 Indian Ocean 3 57.0 6 3.20 3.5 90 91 91 +1 7 Sleek As Silk 2 57.0 7 4.00 0.0 90 97 97 +7 8 Ballroom Bliss 4 55.5 8 4.80 1.5 82 90 90 +8 9 Mary's Greenlight 4 60.0 9 5.80 1.5 103 99 99 -4 10 Sea Goddess 3 55.5 10 6.20 3.5 83 86 86 +3 11 Foreshore 2 57.0 11 8.70 0.0 95 96 96 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic Beauty | 89 | 96 | 90 | +6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lucky Miss Line | 89 | 82 | 89 | -7 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Ivy League | 98 | 98 | 104 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Juliet Tango | 98 | 81 | 104 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kind Judy | 76 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Indian Ocean | 90 | 107 | 91 | +16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Sleek As Silk | 90 | 87 | 97 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ballroom Bliss | 82 | 84 | 90 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Mary's Greenlight | 103 | 103 | 99 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Sea Goddess | 83 | 80 | 86 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Foreshore | 95 | 92 | 96 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points