Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 4 MARCH FM 71 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Opulence
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Golightly 4 58.5 1 0.00 2.0 68 77 68 +0 2 Absolutely Fab 4 53.5 2 1.25 2.0 58 71 71 +13 3 Amberglo Star 5 52.5 3 1.75 0.0 50 72 72 +22 4 Opulence 3 56.0 4 2.25 4.0 71 71 71 +0 5 Kayc Al 4 59.5 5 2.35 2.0 70 81 81 +11 6 Mayfern 5 55.0 6 2.60 0.0 61 76 76 +15 7 Sacred Ibis 5 57.5 7 3.35 0.0 71 80 80 +9 8 Ideal Angel 5 58.0 8 4.85 0.0 67 80 80 +13 9 Lady Of The Flame 4 55.5 9 5.10 2.0 62 71 71 +9 10 Granadilla 4 56.5 10 5.60 2.0 64 73 73 +9 11 Dancing Girl 4 53.0 11 5.85 2.0 57 66 66 +9 12 Alaskan Fate 5 59.0 12 7.10 0.0 69 82 82 +13 13 Karen Blixen 3 57.0 13 8.85 4.0 73 70 70 -3 14 Street Dancing 3 56.0 14 11.35 4.0 71 68 68 -3 15 Legend Has It 4 54.5 15 14.35 2.0 59 69 69 +10 16 Chocolate Ruffles 3 51.5 16 22.85 4.0 65 59 59 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golightly | 68 | 84 | 68 | +16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Absolutely Fab | 58 | 51 | 71 | -20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Amberglo Star | 50 | 50 | 72 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Opulence Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | ||
| 5 | Kayc Al | 70 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mayfern | 61 | 59 | 76 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sacred Ibis | 71 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ideal Angel | 67 | 94 | 80 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Lady Of The Flame | 62 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Granadilla | 64 | 62 | 73 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dancing Girl | 57 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Alaskan Fate | 69 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Karen Blixen | 73 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 14 | Street Dancing | 71 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 4.0 | - | |
| 15 | Legend Has It | 59 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 16 | Chocolate Ruffles | 65 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points