Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: CHAMPAGNE STAKES (Grade 3) (For Horses 3-years and older)
Line Horse
October Morn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Winter Cloud 2 55.0 1 0.00 2.0 111 111 111 +0 2 October Morn 2 57.0 2 1.25 2.0 115 115 115 +0 3 Questioning 2 57.5 3 1.30 2.0 110 116 116 +6 4 Dance Variety 2 56.5 4 2.30 2.0 106 114 114 +8 5 Rio Querari 5 61.0 5 2.80 0.0 118 127 127 +9 6 Gold Poker Game 2 54.5 6 3.10 2.0 108 110 110 +2 7 Cafe Culture 3 55.5 7 3.60 3.0 99 110 110 +11 8 Jerusalema Rain 2 56.5 8 4.10 2.0 104 114 114 +10 9 Captain Fontane 4 57.5 9 4.85 3.5 110 113 113 +3 10 Countdown 2 57.0 10 6.35 2.0 108 115 115 +7 11 Red Palace 2 54.0 11 6.40 2.0 111 109 109 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winter Cloud | 111 | 114 | 111 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | October Morn Line | 115 | 119 | 115 | +4 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Questioning | 110 | 127 | 116 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dance Variety | 106 | 114 | 114 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rio Querari | 118 | 116 | 127 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gold Poker Game | 108 | 105 | 110 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cafe Culture | 99 | 118 | 110 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jerusalema Rain | 104 | 100 | 114 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Captain Fontane | 110 | 109 | 113 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Countdown | 108 | 106 | 115 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Red Palace | 111 | 119 | 109 | +10 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points