Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Lady Loxton
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kebonalesedi 5 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 70 70 +2 2 Hang Out The Stars 5 56.5 2 0.05 0.0 58 61 61 +3 3 Lady Loxton 4 59.5 3 0.45 1.0 70 70 70 +0 4 World Of Pleasure 3 60.5 4 0.75 2.0 90 69 80 -10 5 Kelp Forest 5 61.5 5 2.25 0.0 69 74 74 +5 6 Gold Index 3 59.5 6 4.75 2.0 65 63 63 -2 7 Liketheclappers 3 58.5 7 6.50 2.0 63 61 61 -2 8 Morning Chess 4 62.0 8 9.50 1.0 75 70 70 -5 9 Phantomoftheforest 3 56.0 9 16.00 2.0 58 56 56 -2 99 Ilha Da Mauricia 3 61.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kebonalesedi | 68 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hang Out The Stars | 58 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lady Loxton Line | 70 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | World Of Pleasure | 90 | 89 | 80 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kelp Forest | 69 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gold Index | 65 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Liketheclappers | 63 | 63 | 61 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Morning Chess | 75 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Phantomoftheforest | 58 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ilha Da Mauricia | - | 63 | 66 | -3 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points