Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 25 APRIL MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Munchkin
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grape Shot 2 55.5 1 0.00 2.0 75 66 75 +0 2 Munchkin 5 56.0 2 0.20 0.0 71 71 71 +0 3 John Wick 2 56.0 3 0.30 2.0 76 67 67 -9 4 Walled Garden 4 54.5 4 1.30 3.5 69 61 61 -8 5 Mescal 2 54.5 5 2.00 2.0 69 64 64 -5 6 Turbo Power 3 60.0 6 2.30 3.0 80 73 73 -7 7 Fast Duty 3 55.5 7 2.50 3.0 71 64 64 -7 8 Bob 3 59.5 8 3.00 3.0 83 72 73 -10 9 Calida 2 54.0 9 3.05 2.0 72 63 63 -9 10 Circus Lights 5 54.5 10 5.00 0.0 69 68 68 -1 11 Super Awesome 4 61.5 11 6.00 3.5 87 75 77 -10 12 Miraculous Man 3 52.5 12 6.50 3.0 65 58 58 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grape Shot | 75 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Munchkin Line | 71 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | John Wick | 76 | 82 | 67 | +15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Walled Garden | 69 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mescal | 69 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Turbo Power | 80 | 83 | 73 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fast Duty | 71 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bob | 83 | 52 | 73 | -21 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Calida | 72 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Circus Lights | 69 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Super Awesome | 87 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Miraculous Man | 65 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points