Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)
Line Horse
Great Times
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Forest Spy 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 69 70 70 +1 2 Duke Of Orange 3 48.0 2 1.50 3.0 54 44 44 -10 3 Great Times 3 56.0 3 1.60 3.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Joyous Jubilee (AUS 2 56.5 4 1.85 2.0 61 63 63 +2 5 Jackson Misissippi 6 52.5 5 4.10 0.0 53 59 59 +6 6 War Launch 2 50.5 6 7.10 2.0 58 51 51 -7 7 Absolu Noir 8 52.0 7 7.15 0.0 47 58 58 +11 8 Georgie George 3 56.0 8 7.20 3.0 63 60 60 -3 9 Graduation Time 4 60.0 9 7.25 3.5 74 67 67 -7 10 Seattle Ripper 2 60.0 10 8.25 2.0 75 70 70 -5 11 Exhale 3 60.0 11 10.25 3.0 71 68 68 -3 12 Warbonnet Creek (IR 4 54.0 12 24.50 3.5 56 55 55 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forest Spy | 69 | 85 | 70 | +15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Duke Of Orange | 54 | 53 | 44 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Great Times Line | 60 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Joyous Jubilee (AUS) | 61 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jackson Misissippi | 53 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | War Launch | 58 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Absolu Noir | 47 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Georgie George | 63 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Graduation Time | 74 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Seattle Ripper | 75 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Exhale | 71 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Warbonnet Creek (IRE) | 56 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points