Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 71 and below)

Line Horse
Great Times
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Forest Spy           2    60.0    1    0.00     2.0   69    70           70    +1
2    Duke Of Orange       3    48.0    2    1.50     3.0   54    44           44    -10
3    Great Times          3    56.0    3    1.60     3.0   60    60           60    +0
4    Joyous Jubilee (AUS  2    56.5    4    1.85     2.0   61    63           63    +2
5    Jackson Misissippi   6    52.5    5    4.10     0.0   53    59           59    +6
6    War Launch           2    50.5    6    7.10     2.0   58    51           51    -7
7    Absolu Noir          8    52.0    7    7.15     0.0   47    58           58    +11
8    Georgie George       3    56.0    8    7.20     3.0   63    60           60    -3
9    Graduation Time      4    60.0    9    7.25     3.5   74    67           67    -7
10   Seattle Ripper       2    60.0    10   8.25     2.0   75    70           70    -5
11   Exhale               3    60.0    11   10.25    3.0   71    68           68    -3
12   Warbonnet Creek (IR  4    54.0    12   24.50    3.5   56    55           55    -1
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Forest Spy 69 85 70 +15 2.0 -
2 Duke Of Orange 54 53 44 +9 3.0 -
3 Great Times Line 60 54 60 -6 3.0
4 Joyous Jubilee (AUS) 61 61 63 -2 2.0 -
5 Jackson Misissippi 53 58 59 -1 0.0 -
6 War Launch 58 50 51 -1 2.0 -
7 Absolu Noir 47 50 58 -8 0.0 -
8 Georgie George 63 63 60 +3 3.0 -
9 Graduation Time 74 70 67 +3 3.5 -
10 Seattle Ripper 75 59 70 -11 2.0 -
11 Exhale 71 66 68 -2 3.0 -
12 Warbonnet Creek (IRE) 56 56 55 +1 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points