Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: JEHAN MALHERBE SENOR SANTA STAKES (Grade 2) (Open)
Line Horse
Surjay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lucky Lad 4 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 119 114 114 -5 2 I Am Giant 2 54.0 2 0.40 2.0 104 109 109 +5 3 Surjay 3 60.0 3 0.60 3.0 119 119 119 +0 4 Winter Greeting 5 53.5 4 1.00 0.0 108 112 112 +4 5 Unzen 3 56.0 5 2.25 3.0 109 111 111 +2 6 Rulership 2 60.0 6 2.50 2.0 119 121 121 +2 7 Moonshiningthrough 3 50.0 7 3.75 3.0 98 99 99 +1 8 Taikonaut 2 58.0 8 4.80 2.0 113 117 117 +4 9 Quantum Theory 5 58.0 9 5.00 0.0 114 121 121 +7 10 Captain Hindsight 5 56.0 10 6.25 0.0 111 117 117 +6 11 Swing Upon A Star 2 54.0 11 7.50 2.0 105 109 109 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucky Lad | 119 | 118 | 114 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | I Am Giant | 104 | 124 | 109 | +15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Surjay Line | 119 | 121 | 119 | +2 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Winter Greeting | 108 | 104 | 112 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Unzen | 109 | 116 | 111 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rulership | 119 | 118 | 121 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Moonshiningthrough | 98 | 96 | 99 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Taikonaut | 113 | 104 | 117 | -13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Quantum Theory | 114 | 112 | 121 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Captain Hindsight | 111 | 112 | 117 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Swing Upon A Star | 105 | 102 | 109 | -7 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points