Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Mia's Harper
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Great Cat 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 75 83 81 +6 2 Girl Like Us 4 60.0 2 0.75 3.5 82 79 79 -3 3 Mia's Harper 2 56.0 3 3.00 2.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Tried And True 5 56.0 4 3.20 0.0 70 78 78 +8 5 Grue Of Ice 6 55.5 5 3.70 0.0 69 77 77 +8 6 Double Dream 3 56.0 6 3.80 3.0 70 72 72 +2 7 Try Me 4 53.0 7 5.05 3.5 68 65 65 -3 8 Royal Lytham 4 53.0 8 5.25 3.5 68 65 65 -3 9 Country Time 5 56.0 9 6.00 0.0 70 78 78 +8 10 Captain's Destiny 3 59.0 10 8.25 3.0 80 78 78 -2 11 Kamakazi 4 59.5 11 9.50 3.5 81 78 78 -3 12 Figure Eight 3 56.0 12 15.25 3.0 74 72 72 -2 13 Ticket To Vegas 2 56.5 13 15.55 2.0 75 75 75 +0 14 Fire Chaser 2 52.0 14 16.30 2.0 66 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Cat | 75 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Girl Like Us | 82 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mia's Harper Line | 74 | 78 | 74 | +4 | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Tried And True | 70 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Grue Of Ice | 69 | 53 | 77 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Double Dream | 70 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Try Me | 68 | 52 | 65 | -13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Lytham | 68 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Country Time | 70 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Captain's Destiny | 80 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kamakazi | 81 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Figure Eight | 74 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Ticket To Vegas | 75 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Fire Chaser | 66 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points