Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Juan Carlos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Painite 5 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 72 78 +0 2 Heart Stealer 5 58.5 2 0.05 0.0 79 73 73 -6 3 Juan Carlos 7 61.0 3 1.05 0.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Central City 5 59.5 4 1.10 0.0 81 81 81 +0 5 Nothingelsematters 5 55.0 5 2.10 0.0 71 71 71 +0 6 Catch The Tune 6 58.5 6 2.85 0.0 79 76 76 -3 7 Gimme More Time 5 63.0 7 5.35 0.0 88 82 82 -6 8 Alado's Pride 7 59.0 8 8.60 0.0 80 74 74 -6 9 Crimson Comet 3 52.5 9 25.60 4.5 76 52 66 -10 10 Cicadidae 4 59.5 10 99.92 2.0 81 71 71 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Painite | 78 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Heart Stealer | 79 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Juan Carlos Line | 84 | 93 | 84 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Central City | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nothingelsematters | 71 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Catch The Tune | 79 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gimme More Time | 88 | 87 | 82 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Alado's Pride | 80 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Crimson Comet | 76 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Cicadidae | 81 | 81 | 71 | +10 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points