Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
San Marzano
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tom's Act 3 54.5 1 0.00 2.5 57 50 57 +0 2 San Marzano 3 52.5 2 0.50 2.5 53 53 53 +0 3 Tin Cup 3 59.5 3 0.70 2.5 67 67 67 +0 4 Fireflare 2 59.0 4 0.95 0.0 71 70 70 -1 5 Future Of Energy 5 60.0 5 1.55 0.0 68 71 71 +3 6 Lucretius 6 59.5 6 1.60 0.0 67 70 70 +3 7 Fine Admiral 3 59.0 7 2.60 2.5 66 63 63 -3 8 Wave Warrior 3 57.5 8 3.20 2.5 63 59 59 -4 9 Ravens Sword 3 55.5 9 7.60 2.5 59 52 52 -7 10 Flag Bearer 3 58.0 10 9.10 2.5 64 57 57 -7 11 Bunting 4 59.0 11 11.80 1.0 66 62 62 -4 12 Moon Harvest 2 55.0 12 17.70 0.0 61 56 56 -5 99 King Bavarian 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 50 50 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom's Act | 57 | 64 | 57 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | San Marzano Line | 53 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Tin Cup | 67 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Fireflare | 71 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Future Of Energy | 68 | 55 | 71 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lucretius | 67 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fine Admiral | 66 | 73 | 63 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Wave Warrior | 63 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ravens Sword | 59 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Flag Bearer | 64 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Bunting | 66 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Moon Harvest | 61 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | King Bavarian | - | 67 | 50 | +17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points