Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Vision Of Will
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chelsea Flower 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 68 73 68 +0 2 Vision Of Will 3 60.5 2 2.90 2.5 69 69 69 +0 3 Kitten's Adventure 3 60.0 3 4.10 2.5 68 68 68 +0 4 Time For Charity 5 60.5 4 5.40 0.0 69 74 74 +5 5 Cerulean Dancer 2 58.5 5 5.50 1.5 65 67 67 +2 6 Poppy Of Bayeux 3 56.0 6 6.00 2.5 60 60 60 +0 7 Quentasia 4 59.5 7 6.80 0.0 70 72 72 +2 8 Birdwatcher 5 54.5 8 7.00 0.0 56 62 62 +6 9 Magicallee 4 55.5 9 8.80 0.0 67 64 64 -3 10 Puff Of Smoke 3 57.5 10 13.50 2.5 63 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea Flower | 68 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Vision Of Will Line | 69 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Kitten's Adventure | 68 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Time For Charity | 69 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cerulean Dancer | 65 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Poppy Of Bayeux | 60 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Quentasia | 70 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Birdwatcher | 56 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Magicallee | 67 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Puff Of Smoke | 63 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points