Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 10 MAY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Atkinson Grimshaw
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Global Rush 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 70 77 +0 2 Guerra 4 59.5 2 1.00 0.5 77 73 73 -4 3 Atkinson Grimshaw 4 61.0 3 1.25 0.5 76 76 76 +0 4 Jaspero 4 59.0 4 1.50 0.5 80 71 71 -9 5 Empire Blue 4 61.0 5 2.25 0.5 80 75 75 -5 6 Indy View 2 61.5 6 2.35 0.0 77 76 76 -1 7 Maldano 3 53.0 7 3.60 2.0 64 54 54 -10 8 Hawk Circle 2 59.0 8 3.85 0.0 72 70 70 -2 9 Gunsmoke 3 58.0 9 5.60 2.0 70 63 63 -7 10 Sand Bank 2 59.5 10 5.70 0.0 73 70 70 -3 11 Downing Seven 5 60.0 11 5.95 0.0 77 71 71 -6 12 Path Of Choice 5 61.0 12 11.20 0.0 76 73 73 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Rush | 77 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Guerra | 77 | 86 | 73 | +13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Atkinson Grimshaw Line | 76 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Jaspero | 80 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Empire Blue | 80 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Indy View | 77 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Maldano | 64 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Hawk Circle | 72 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gunsmoke | 70 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sand Bank | 73 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Downing Seven | 77 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Path Of Choice | 76 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points