Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Believe In Fate 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.5 - - - +0 2 Tokyo Medaglia 3 60.0 2 4.00 2.5 - - - +0 3 Bourbon Reserve 2 60.0 3 5.25 1.5 - - - +0 4 Ingqwele 3 60.0 4 5.50 2.5 - - - +0 5 Beynac 2 60.0 5 8.75 1.5 - - - +0 6 Gold Fever 2 60.0 6 10.00 1.5 - - - +0 99 Busstopinhounslow 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Believe In Fate | - | 85 | - | +85 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Tokyo Medaglia | - | 68 | - | +68 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Bourbon Reserve | - | 82 | - | +82 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Ingqwele | - | 84 | - | +84 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Beynac | - | 90 | - | +90 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Gold Fever | - | 59 | - | +59 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Busstopinhounslow | - | 110 | - | - | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points