Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
Line Horse
Silver Crown
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gimmelightning 2 58.0 1 0.00 1.5 92 92 92 +0 2 Silver Crown 2 54.5 2 0.30 1.5 85 85 85 +0 3 Dumbledore 4 58.0 3 1.55 0.0 92 95 95 +3 4 Beerenberg 2 54.5 4 3.05 1.5 81 85 85 +4 5 Fort Red 4 52.0 5 3.80 0.0 77 83 83 +6 6 Paratrooper 4 54.5 6 3.90 0.0 85 88 88 +3 7 All About Al 7 54.0 7 4.90 0.0 81 87 87 +6 8 Sun Dazed 6 56.5 8 5.90 0.0 85 92 92 +7 9 Dean Street 3 60.0 9 6.40 2.5 93 94 94 +1 10 Lindbergh 2 58.0 10 7.40 1.5 92 92 92 +0 11 Broadway Girl 5 58.0 11 9.90 0.0 89 95 95 +6 12 Das Gute 4 53.0 12 10.90 0.0 82 85 85 +3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimmelightning | 92 | 95 | 92 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Silver Crown Line | 85 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Dumbledore | 92 | 105 | 95 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Beerenberg | 81 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Fort Red | 77 | 66 | 83 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Paratrooper | 85 | 73 | 88 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | All About Al | 81 | 78 | 87 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sun Dazed | 85 | 64 | 92 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dean Street | 93 | 102 | 94 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Lindbergh | 92 | 85 | 92 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Broadway Girl | 89 | 89 | 95 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Das Gute | 82 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points