Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
High Queue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grand Crescendo 3 56.0 1 0.00 1.5 - 44 6 +6 2 Shinto Shrine 2 56.0 2 1.50 0.0 - 50 50 +50 3 High Queue 4 60.0 3 5.00 0.5 54 54 54 +0 4 Roll Of The Dice 3 60.0 4 5.25 1.5 68 52 58 -10 5 Lightinthestorm 2 56.0 5 5.30 0.0 - 47 47 +47 6 Gold De Grace 4 60.0 6 12.05 0.5 - 54 54 +54 7 Fly The Tune 3 60.0 7 13.30 1.5 - 52 52 +52 8 Future Queen 3 57.0 8 14.55 1.5 - 46 46 +46 9 Captain Barbosa 3 60.0 9 16.05 1.5 58 52 52 -6 10 Alakanani 4 60.0 10 16.80 0.5 - 54 54 +54 11 Magical Stones 3 53.0 11 17.55 1.5 57 38 47 -10 99 Ilha Da Orange 4 57.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 48 48 +0 99 Pacific 4 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 54 54 +0 99 Apache Son 4 60.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grand Crescendo | - | 107 | 6 | +101 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Shinto Shrine | - | 80 | 50 | +30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | High Queue Line | 54 | 74 | 54 | +20 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Roll Of The Dice | 68 | 81 | 58 | +23 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Lightinthestorm | - | 75 | 47 | +28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gold De Grace | - | 51 | 54 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Fly The Tune | - | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Future Queen | - | 44 | 46 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Captain Barbosa | 58 | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Alakanani | - | 59 | 54 | +5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Magical Stones | 57 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ilha Da Orange | - | 75 | 48 | +27 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pacific | - | 50 | 54 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Apache Son | - | 89 | 54 | +35 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points