Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Perfect Trust
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Miss Paget 4 58.0 1 0.00 0.5 68 58 68 +0 2 Green Valkyrie 4 59.0 2 0.50 0.5 70 65 65 -5 3 Perfect Trust 7 56.0 3 0.55 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Miss Lialah 4 59.0 4 1.55 0.5 66 63 63 -3 5 Purple Flower 3 58.0 5 1.95 1.5 67 59 59 -8 6 Hugsandhighfives 5 59.5 6 3.15 0.0 67 64 64 -3 7 Eau De Vie 2 52.5 7 8.75 0.0 50 48 48 -2 8 Kitten's Adventure 3 59.5 8 10.05 1.5 67 59 59 -8 9 Harley's Fate 2 57.5 9 11.45 0.0 71 58 61 -10 99 Green Dream 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Drive By 6 50.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miss Paget | 68 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Green Valkyrie | 70 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Perfect Trust Line | 60 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Miss Lialah | 66 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Purple Flower | 67 | 74 | 59 | +15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Hugsandhighfives | 67 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Eau De Vie | 50 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kitten's Adventure | 67 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Harley's Fate | 71 | 67 | 61 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Green Dream | - | 60 | 55 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Drive By | - | 68 | 43 | +25 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points