Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Future Turn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Innamorare 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 88 84 84 -4 2 Solomons Seal 2 58.5 2 0.30 0.0 90 89 89 -1 3 Future Turn 5 58.5 3 3.05 0.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Charlie Croker 2 61.5 4 3.45 0.0 92 91 91 -1 5 Solar Power 3 61.5 5 4.20 1.5 94 88 88 -6 6 Marvel William 2 57.0 6 4.25 0.0 83 82 82 -1 7 Das Gute 4 54.0 7 4.75 0.5 82 74 74 -8 8 Chollima 6 57.5 8 5.05 0.0 83 82 82 -1 9 Scalini 2 61.5 9 6.55 0.0 94 90 90 -4 10 My Golly Molly 4 61.5 10 7.05 0.5 96 89 89 -7 11 Royal Watch 4 57.0 11 7.35 0.5 85 80 80 -5 99 Tyrion Lannister 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 99 Cheeky Laddie 5 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 99 Magic Verse 3 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Innamorare | 88 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Solomons Seal | 90 | 90 | 89 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Future Turn Line | 86 | 78 | 86 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Charlie Croker | 92 | 82 | 91 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Solar Power | 94 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Marvel William | 83 | 73 | 82 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Das Gute | 82 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Chollima | 83 | 85 | 82 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Scalini | 94 | 70 | 90 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | My Golly Molly | 96 | 71 | 89 | -18 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Royal Watch | 85 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tyrion Lannister | - | 88 | 84 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cheeky Laddie | - | 87 | 81 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Magic Verse | - | 115 | 78 | +37 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points