Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
All About Al
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Escarpment 4 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 79 76 76 -3 2 Mighty Mac 5 59.0 2 1.00 0.0 76 76 76 +0 3 All About Al 7 61.0 3 1.75 0.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Surge Of Power 2 56.0 4 3.75 1.5 89 67 79 -10 5 Dancingtothelight 3 57.5 5 3.80 2.5 76 68 68 -8 6 Guarding The Wall 4 53.5 6 4.10 0.0 68 65 65 -3 7 Winter Pearl 6 59.0 7 4.30 0.0 76 76 76 +0 8 Night Tiger 5 61.5 8 5.80 0.0 81 81 81 +0 9 King Of Spin 3 61.5 9 6.20 2.5 84 76 76 -8 10 Fort Red 4 59.0 10 7.95 0.0 76 76 76 +0 11 Apple Catcher 3 56.0 11 9.45 2.5 70 65 65 -5 12 The Proprietor 3 58.5 12 10.95 2.5 75 70 70 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escarpment | 79 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mighty Mac | 76 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | All About Al Line | 80 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Surge Of Power | 89 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Dancingtothelight | 76 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Guarding The Wall | 68 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Winter Pearl | 76 | 71 | 76 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Night Tiger | 81 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | King Of Spin | 84 | 91 | 76 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Fort Red | 76 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Apple Catcher | 70 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | The Proprietor | 75 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points