Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 4 JUNE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Red Carpet Girl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Peace Of Mind 3 58.0 1 0.00 2.5 81 62 81 +0 2 After Hours 7 61.0 2 0.25 0.0 68 73 73 +5 3 Red Carpet Girl 3 58.0 3 1.25 2.5 62 62 62 +0 4 The Navy Lark 4 56.5 4 1.50 0.0 70 64 64 -6 5 Samthewiseman 5 53.0 5 2.75 0.0 55 57 57 +2 6 Super Agra 4 59.0 6 3.25 0.0 64 69 69 +5 7 Count Your Chances 5 51.0 7 4.25 0.0 56 53 53 -3 8 Calida 2 60.5 8 4.35 1.5 70 69 69 -1 9 Miraculous Man 3 55.0 9 5.00 2.5 56 56 56 +0 10 Ode To The Ocean 2 62.0 10 5.50 1.5 70 72 72 +2 11 Life Lesson 3 53.0 11 7.00 2.5 55 52 52 -3 12 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.5 12 15.00 0.0 50 56 56 +6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peace Of Mind | 81 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | After Hours | 68 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Red Carpet Girl Line | 62 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | The Navy Lark | 70 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Samthewiseman | 55 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Super Agra | 64 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Count Your Chances | 56 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Calida | 70 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Miraculous Man | 56 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Ode To The Ocean | 70 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Life Lesson | 55 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Bridge Of Spies | 50 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points