Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden (F&M) R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Seaside Trip
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Arabian Red 4 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 59 63 63 +4 2 Dumisani 5 60.0 2 1.75 0.0 54 67 67 +13 3 Seaside Trip 3 60.0 3 2.75 2.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Ginger Palace 3 56.0 4 3.50 2.0 - 53 53 +53 5 Kamaria 3 60.0 5 3.75 2.0 47 61 61 +14 6 Galaxy Moment 4 60.0 6 5.25 0.5 43 63 63 +20 7 Sundrop 6 58.5 7 5.75 0.0 55 61 61 +6 8 What Now My Gal 2 60.0 8 7.50 0.0 50 64 64 +14 9 Hallowed Secret 3 60.0 9 12.00 2.0 58 60 60 +2 10 Elusive Hunter 4 56.0 10 15.00 0.5 49 55 55 +6 11 Forest Fantasy 3 60.0 11 99.99 2.0 - 60 60 +60 12 Havre De Grace 3 60.0 12 99.99 2.0 75 60 65 -10 13 Sankofa 3 60.0 13 99.92 2.0 55 60 60 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arabian Red | 59 | 74 | 63 | +11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Dumisani | 54 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Seaside Trip Line | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Ginger Palace | - | 55 | 53 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kamaria | 47 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Galaxy Moment | 43 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Sundrop | 55 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | What Now My Gal | 50 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Hallowed Secret | 58 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Elusive Hunter | 49 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 11 | Forest Fantasy | - | 39 | 60 | -21 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Havre De Grace | 75 | 75 | 65 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Sankofa | 55 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points