Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Hang Out The Stars
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Miss New York 3 59.5 1 0.00 1.0 65 60 60 -5 2 Senhora Victoria 3 60.0 2 0.40 1.0 66 66 66 +0 3 Hang Out The Stars 5 56.5 3 2.15 0.0 59 59 59 +0 4 Black Path 6 52.0 4 3.15 0.0 50 49 49 -1 5 Fly To Rio 4 56.0 5 3.55 0.5 58 55 55 -3 6 Easy Money 4 58.0 6 4.55 0.5 65 58 58 -7 7 Cattaleya 2 61.5 7 4.75 0.0 69 66 66 -3 8 Beneath The Moon 2 57.0 8 4.80 0.0 60 57 57 -3 9 Cloud Chaser 3 59.0 9 7.30 1.0 64 59 59 -5 10 F Eight 2 60.5 10 7.60 0.0 67 64 64 -3 11 Summer Fling 3 53.0 11 7.65 1.0 50 47 47 -3 12 Inner Sense 2 56.5 12 99.92 0.0 59 56 56 -3 99 Veronique 6 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 52 52 +0 99 Dream Searcher 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miss New York | 65 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Senhora Victoria | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Hang Out The Stars Line | 59 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Black Path | 50 | 58 | 49 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fly To Rio | 58 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Easy Money | 65 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Cattaleya | 69 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Beneath The Moon | 60 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cloud Chaser | 64 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | F Eight | 67 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Summer Fling | 50 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Inner Sense | 59 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Veronique | - | 56 | 52 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dream Searcher | - | 87 | 59 | +28 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points