Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: EAST COAST RADIO TIBOUCHINA STAKES (Grade 2) (Fillies and Mares at Weight For Age + Penalties)
Line Horse
Humdinger
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Double Grand Slam 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 118 108 108 -10 2 Humdinger 3 60.0 2 1.20 1.0 116 116 116 +0 3 Bavarian Beauty 2 60.0 3 2.60 0.0 113 116 116 +3 4 Gimme A Shot 2 58.5 4 3.50 0.0 106 112 112 +6 5 Happy Chance 2 58.5 5 5.50 0.0 113 111 111 -2 6 Ripple Effect 2 57.0 6 9.00 0.0 106 108 108 +2 7 Morgan La Fay 2 58.5 7 9.25 0.0 98 111 111 +13 8 Sashay Away 3 58.5 8 10.25 1.0 90 109 109 +19 99 Just Be Lekker 4 57.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 107 107 +0 99 Celtic Rumours 5 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 111 111 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Double Grand Slam | 118 | 122 | 108 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Humdinger Line | 116 | 119 | 116 | +3 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Bavarian Beauty | 113 | 109 | 116 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gimme A Shot | 106 | 110 | 112 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Happy Chance | 113 | 118 | 111 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ripple Effect | 106 | 102 | 108 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Morgan La Fay | 98 | 98 | 111 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sashay Away | 90 | 88 | 109 | -21 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Just Be Lekker | - | 113 | 107 | +6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Celtic Rumours | - | 104 | 111 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points