Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets GOLD CHALLENGE (Grade 1) (For Horses at Weight-For-Age)
Line Horse
Cousin Casey
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dave The King 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 126 120 120 -6 2 Cousin Casey 2 60.0 2 2.20 0.0 123 123 123 +0 3 See It Again 2 60.0 3 2.45 0.0 132 122 122 -10 4 Sandringham Summit 2 58.5 4 2.65 0.0 123 119 119 -4 5 Gimmeanotherchance 4 58.5 5 3.85 0.5 115 117 117 +2 6 Gladatorian 5 60.0 6 3.90 0.0 120 121 121 +1 7 Main Defender 4 58.5 7 5.40 0.5 131 116 121 -10 8 Al Muthana (AUS) 4 60.0 8 6.70 0.5 123 119 119 -4 9 Bingwa 7 60.0 9 7.10 0.0 123 120 120 -3 10 Itsrainingwilliam 2 60.0 10 11.50 0.0 108 120 120 +12 11 Lucky Lad 4 58.5 11 11.65 0.5 124 116 116 -8 12 Snow Pilot 2 58.5 12 13.15 0.0 120 117 117 -3 99 Royal Aussie 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 120 120 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave The King | 126 | 128 | 120 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cousin Casey Line | 123 | 125 | 123 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | See It Again | 132 | 130 | 122 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sandringham Summit | 123 | 123 | 119 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gimmeanotherchance | 115 | 96 | 117 | -21 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Gladatorian | 120 | 127 | 121 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Main Defender | 131 | 130 | 121 | +9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Al Muthana (AUS) | 123 | 114 | 119 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bingwa | 123 | 107 | 120 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Itsrainingwilliam | 108 | 108 | 120 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lucky Lad | 124 | 118 | 116 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Snow Pilot | 120 | 122 | 117 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Royal Aussie | - | 120 | 120 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points