Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE RACING SALES MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (Fillies) (For 2 yof R100 000 Win CRS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
16 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Polynomial 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 - - - +0 2 From A Distance 2 60.0 2 1.50 1.0 - - - +0 3 Mai Sensation 3 60.0 3 1.70 2.0 - - - +0 4 American Ultra 2 60.0 4 2.95 1.0 - - - +0 5 Goodnessgraciousme 2 60.0 5 4.45 1.0 - - - +0 6 Back At The George 2 60.0 6 4.85 1.0 - - - +0 7 Timeline 3 60.0 7 5.25 2.0 - - - +0 8 Double Dash 2 60.0 8 5.30 1.0 - - - +0 9 Spoil Yourself 2 60.0 9 5.70 1.0 - - - +0 10 Diamond Bomber 2 60.0 10 6.45 1.0 - - - +0 11 Pocket Dial 3 60.0 11 7.95 2.0 - - - +0 12 My Only Weakness 3 60.0 12 8.15 2.0 - - - +0 13 Wings Of Josephine 3 60.0 13 10.65 2.0 - - - +0 14 Alessia Asheville 3 60.0 14 10.75 2.0 - - - +0 15 Forgotten Song 2 60.0 15 12.75 1.0 - - - +0 16 Sweet Cake 2 60.0 16 18.75 1.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polynomial | - | 79 | - | +79 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | From A Distance | - | 72 | - | +72 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mai Sensation | - | 108 | - | +108 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | American Ultra | - | 76 | - | +76 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Goodnessgraciousme | - | 86 | - | +86 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Back At The George | - | 90 | - | +90 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Timeline | - | 53 | - | +53 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Double Dash | - | 69 | - | +69 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Spoil Yourself | - | 73 | - | +73 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Diamond Bomber | - | 79 | - | +79 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pocket Dial | - | 76 | - | +76 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | My Only Weakness | - | 84 | - | +84 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Wings Of Josephine | - | 78 | - | +78 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Alessia Asheville | - | 57 | - | +57 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Forgotten Song | - | 78 | - | +78 | 1.0 | - | |
| 16 | Sweet Cake | - | 60 | - | +60 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points