Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MAIDEN HANDICAP (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Breath Of Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lava Fire 3 52.0 1 0.00 1.5 58 47 58 +0 2 Roll Of The Dice 3 58.5 2 2.00 1.5 65 63 63 -2 3 Breath Of Magic 4 60.0 3 2.20 0.5 68 68 68 +0 4 Mo Ment 4 58.5 4 3.95 0.5 65 63 63 -2 5 Pacific 4 57.0 5 5.35 0.5 62 59 59 -3 6 Lightinthestorm 2 55.0 6 7.10 0.0 76 56 66 -10 7 Alakanani 4 52.0 7 9.35 0.5 45 49 49 +4 8 Damascodoro 3 58.0 8 9.40 1.5 64 59 59 -5 9 Paradise Flower 3 52.0 9 26.90 1.5 45 47 47 +2 10 Summer Shade 4 53.0 10 32.40 0.5 62 51 52 -10 99 Gamer 4 56.0 99 0.00 0.5 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lava Fire | 58 | 69 | 58 | +11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Roll Of The Dice | 65 | 81 | 63 | +18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Breath Of Magic Line | 68 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | Mo Ment | 65 | 93 | 63 | +30 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Pacific | 62 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Lightinthestorm | 76 | 75 | 66 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Alakanani | 45 | 59 | 49 | +10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Damascodoro | 64 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Paradise Flower | 45 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Summer Shade | 62 | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Gamer | - | 65 | 57 | +8 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points