Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 16 JUNE FM 64 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Twice As Wild
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Boom Boom 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 66 59 66 +0 2 Lady Elliot 2 62.0 2 0.40 1.0 70 66 66 -4 3 Twice As Wild 6 56.0 3 1.60 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Ice Cap 3 59.5 4 2.60 2.0 65 59 59 -6 5 Red Carpet Girl 3 59.0 5 3.10 2.0 62 58 58 -4 6 Can't Catch Me 5 54.0 6 4.85 0.0 52 52 52 +0 7 Smelting 7 54.0 7 5.05 0.0 52 52 52 +0 8 Time Is Ticking 3 58.5 8 8.15 2.0 61 57 57 -4 9 Gal Gadot 8 53.0 9 15.40 0.0 50 50 50 +0 99 Dakota Cat 2 59.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boom Boom | 66 | 81 | 66 | +15 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lady Elliot | 70 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Twice As Wild Line | 56 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Ice Cap | 65 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Carpet Girl | 62 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Can't Catch Me | 52 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Smelting | 52 | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Time Is Ticking | 61 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gal Gadot | 50 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dakota Cat | - | 61 | 60 | +1 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points