Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TABGOLD DERBY (Grade 3) (For Horses at Weight For Age + Penalties)
Line Horse
Cape Eagle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Pearl 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 116 106 106 -10 2 Aragosta 3 59.0 2 1.00 3.0 118 103 108 -10 3 One Way Traffic 4 59.0 3 2.10 1.0 108 106 106 -2 4 Zeus 3 59.0 4 2.15 3.0 122 102 112 -10 5 Shoot The Rapids 4 56.0 5 3.05 1.0 89 99 99 +10 6 Cape Eagle 7 59.0 6 4.65 0.0 105 105 105 +0 7 Without Question 5 59.0 7 4.70 0.0 120 105 110 -10 8 Home Of The Brave 2 59.0 8 9.40 0.0 95 104 104 +9 9 Policy Of Truth 2 56.0 9 18.60 0.0 82 98 98 +16 10 Future Saint 4 56.0 10 26.70 1.0 83 96 96 +13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Pearl | 116 | 114 | 106 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aragosta | 118 | 109 | 108 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Way Traffic | 108 | 109 | 106 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Zeus | 122 | 117 | 112 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Shoot The Rapids | 89 | 117 | 99 | +18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cape Eagle Line | 105 | 106 | 105 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 7 | Without Question | 120 | 111 | 110 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Home Of The Brave | 95 | 97 | 104 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Policy Of Truth | 82 | 71 | 98 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Future Saint | 83 | 53 | 96 | -43 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points