Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: www.tabgold.co.za OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Trend Maker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Vila Vicosa 3 56.0 1 0.00 3.0 66 67 67 +1 2 Prince Florian 3 60.5 2 1.30 3.0 75 79 79 +4 3 Trend Maker 3 58.0 3 3.10 3.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Lava Burst 3 59.0 4 3.20 3.0 72 75 75 +3 5 Firelighter 3 59.0 5 4.50 3.0 72 73 73 +1 6 Run For Peace 3 48.0 6 5.20 3.0 63 51 53 -10 7 The Green Gallant 6 54.0 7 6.50 0.0 56 69 69 +13 8 Forest Drum 3 52.5 8 8.60 3.0 52 60 60 +8 9 Global Drumbeat 3 52.5 9 9.70 3.0 45 60 60 +15 10 Half Sovereign 3 48.5 10 9.90 3.0 59 52 52 -7 11 Futurarius 3 55.0 11 13.60 3.0 64 65 65 +1 12 Portfire 3 60.5 12 15.30 3.0 - 76 76 +76 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Vicosa | 66 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Prince Florian | 75 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Trend Maker Line | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Lava Burst | 72 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Firelighter | 72 | 63 | 73 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Run For Peace | 63 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Green Gallant | 56 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Forest Drum | 52 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Global Drumbeat | 45 | 65 | 60 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Half Sovereign | 59 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Futurarius | 64 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Portfire | - | 53 | 76 | -23 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points