Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Winter Pearl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Escarpment 4 61.5 1 0.00 2.5 83 76 76 -7 2 Winter Pearl 6 58.5 2 0.75 0.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Sooty 4 61.0 3 0.80 2.5 82 75 75 -7 4 Trippi's Silk 4 57.5 4 1.55 2.5 75 68 68 -7 5 Counter Attack 3 59.5 5 1.95 2.0 79 73 73 -6 6 Lunch Money 3 59.5 6 2.70 2.0 77 73 73 -4 7 All About Al 7 61.0 7 3.45 0.0 80 80 80 +0 8 Go It Alone 4 61.0 8 3.55 2.5 82 75 75 -7 8 Prince Of Tibet 4 58.5 8 3.55 2.5 77 70 70 -7 10 Hoodia 4 61.0 10 4.05 2.5 82 75 75 -7 11 Beerenberg 2 60.5 11 5.05 1.0 79 77 77 -2 12 Mighty Mac 5 60.0 12 7.55 0.0 78 78 78 +0 13 Question Of Faith 2 55.0 13 10.55 1.0 70 66 66 -4 14 Turbo Boost 2 58.0 14 10.55 1.0 76 72 72 -4 99 Fort Red 4 58.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escarpment | 83 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Winter Pearl Line | 75 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Sooty | 82 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Trippi's Silk | 75 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Counter Attack | 79 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lunch Money | 77 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | All About Al | 80 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Go It Alone | 82 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Prince Of Tibet | 77 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Hoodia | 82 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Beerenberg | 79 | 76 | 77 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mighty Mac | 78 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Question Of Faith | 70 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 14 | Turbo Boost | 76 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fort Red | - | 66 | 70 | -4 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points